Term Structure Modeling with Supply Factors and the Federal Reserve's Large-Scale Asset purchase Programs

نویسندگان

  • Canlin Li
  • Min Wei
  • Thomas Laubach
  • Mark Loewenstein
  • Emanuel Moench
  • Matt Raskin
  • Tony Rodrigues
چکیده

This paper estimates an arbitrage-free term structure model with both observable yield factors and Treasury and agency MBS supply factors, and uses it to evaluate the term premium effects of the Federal Reserve’s large-scale asset purchase programs. Our estimates show that the first and second large-scale asset purchase programs and the maturity extension program jointly reduced the ten-year Treasury yield by about 100 basis points.

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تاریخ انتشار 2013